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Red58
386323.1
186823.5
656021.4
Blue32
680321.7
764515.9
258421.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463602060801005832

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.6
14.616.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 1.8
21.70.2
15.315.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Second
23.11.6
14.115.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.2
red by 2.0
2584
#12
21.10.2
11.511.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
21.41.0
14.515.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End8.9
red by 5.5
15.90.2
7.57.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed