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Red52
386323.1
351216.4
242915.0
Blue46
447015.1
580517.2
186823.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060705246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.0
15.816.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.2
blue by 0.4
23.50.4
16.216.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Second
3512
#15
16.41.0
14.415.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
blue by 0.8
5805
#28
17.20.2
14.214.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
2429
#20
15.01.0
13.013.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End3.7
blue by 0.1
4470
#32
15.10.4
11.812.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed