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Red35
69115.3
508919.9
392517.3
Blue49
581819.7
75957.9
265919.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060801003549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.4
12.612.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 0.2
19.70.2
16.216.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Second
3925
#27
17.30.4
13.713.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 2.0
2659
#18
19.30.2
14.314.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Third
691
#26
15.30.4
12.712.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End3.6
red by 7.4
7595
#23
7.92.3
7.910.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed