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Red58
166111.2
186823.5
606018.8
Blue57
392517.3
580517.2
59920.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4645354050555857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.6
16.617.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 3.3
599
#13
20.21.6
13.014.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
Second
6060
#10
18.80.6
14.515.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End3.6
red by 1.5
3925
#27
17.31.6
15.216.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
1661
#14
11.20.4
12.512.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 6.0
5805
#28
17.21.0
14.515.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed