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Red36
528515.5
680321.7
115916.6
Blue47
351216.4
704213.0
265919.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504720304060703647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.6
15.614.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
red by 2.4
2659
#18
19.30.4
16.716.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Second
1159
#16
16.60.9
18.217.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
red by 0.2
3512
#15
16.40.4
15.415.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
5285
#30
15.51.6
13.411.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
red by 2.5
7042
#19
13.00.4
12.111.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed