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Red58
20724.6
240410.3
581819.7
Blue38
186823.5
683312.9
76079.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41412530354550555838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#11
24.61.8
14.115.9
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End3.7
red by 1.1
23.50.1
17.217.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Second
19.71.8
14.516.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End2.6
red by 6.9
6833
#36
12.90.1
15.615.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Third
2404
#31
10.31.8
9.911.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.6
red by 1.3
7607
#29
9.00.1
6.26.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed