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Red49
265919.3
447015.1
392517.3
Blue58
528515.5
59920.2
764515.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493910203060704958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#18
19.30.3
16.316.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
blue by 0.9
599
#13
20.22.4
14.617.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
Second
3925
#27
17.30.3
16.817.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 1.4
15.92.4
10.212.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
4470
#32
15.10.3
13.513.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 0.4
5285
#30
15.52.4
11.814.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned