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Red52
680321.7
447015.1
166111.2
Blue70
115916.6
69622.3
186823.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505820304070805270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
16.917.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
blue by 1.8
23.51.7
17.919.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Second
4470
#32
15.10.2
15.716.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 7.2
696
#2
22.31.7
20.422.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Third
1661
#14
11.20.1
14.314.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 5.4
1159
#16
16.61.0
16.317.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned