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Red34
75957.9
683312.9
240410.3
Blue42
704213.0
350110.9
386323.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40441020305060703442

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#36
12.91.6
14.112.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 10.2
23.10.1
18.818.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Second
2404
#31
10.31.6
13.211.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.6
blue by 2.7
7042
#19
13.00.1
12.812.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Third
7595
#23
7.91.6
10.89.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 3.0
3501
#25
10.90.1
9.910.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed