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Red49
545315.4
59920.2
39939.8
Blue42
471113.5
240410.3
528515.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43411020305060704942

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#13
20.20.8
18.819.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
red by 4.7
5285
#30
15.50.0
16.116.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Second
5453
#17
15.40.8
12.413.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 1.9
4711
#33
13.50.0
11.011.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Third
3993
#35
9.80.8
9.310.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 0.5
2404
#31
10.30.0
11.611.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed