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Red43
350110.9
447015.1
115916.6
Blue54
75957.9
528515.5
186823.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475120304060704354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1159
#16
16.60.1
17.917.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 6.9
23.50.3
22.122.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Second
4470
#32
15.10.2
15.415.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 0.4
5285
#30
15.50.3
16.216.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Third
3501
#25
10.90.2
11.511.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End2.5
red by 3.0
7595
#23
7.90.3
9.710.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed