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Red48
63539.4
392517.3
764515.9
Blue21
240410.3
166111.2
39939.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473720305060704821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#27
17.30.3
18.919.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 6.1
1661
#14
11.21.0
13.712.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Second
15.90.3
15.315.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 5.6
2404
#31
10.31.4
11.610.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.6
Third
6353
#34
9.40.3
10.410.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 0.4
3993
#35
9.81.3
10.18.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed