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Red50
265919.3
63539.4
20724.6
Blue53
39939.8
242915.0
447015.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584020305070805053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#11
24.60.4
24.023.5
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End3.7
red by 9.5
4470
#32
15.10.7
15.216.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Second
2659
#18
19.30.4
20.119.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
red by 4.3
2429
#20
15.00.7
13.814.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End3.7
Third
6353
#34
9.40.4
10.710.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 0.4
3993
#35
9.80.7
8.89.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed