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Red33
350110.9
69115.3
471113.5
Blue55
69622.3
265919.3
242915.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060801003355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#26
15.31.5
12.210.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End3.6
blue by 7.0
696
#2
22.31.6
14.816.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Second
4711
#33
13.51.5
14.112.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 5.8
2659
#18
19.31.6
14.516.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Third
3501
#25
10.91.5
10.69.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End2.5
blue by 4.1
2429
#20
15.01.6
11.413.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned