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Red70
69115.3
258421.1
704213.0
Blue78
20724.6
764515.9
351216.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505930407080907078

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#12
21.10.6
20.320.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 3.6
207
#11
24.60.2
24.424.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End3.7
Second
691
#26
15.30.6
14.615.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End3.6
blue by 1.0
3512
#15
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
7042
#19
13.00.5
12.312.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.8
blue by 2.9
15.90.2
15.715.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0