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Red49
207320.7
312827.4
605910.9
Blue71
681414.6
167120.1
264311.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63472040801004971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.2
27.627.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End8.9
red by 7.3
20.10.5
19.620.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Second
20.70.2
20.920.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End2.6
red by 6.1
6814
#27
14.60.5
14.014.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Third
6059
#20
10.90.2
11.210.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
blue by 0.8
2643
#25
11.70.6
11.111.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.4