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Red75
681414.6
167120.1
70219.3
Blue47
325615.0
58113.5
730810.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5140102030607080907547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.5
17.818.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
red by 5.0
3256
#19
15.00.2
14.714.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Second
702
#22
19.30.5
17.818.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End2.8
red by 5.8
581
#10
13.50.2
13.213.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Third
6814
#27
14.60.5
12.312.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 4.5
7308
#28
10.10.2
9.810.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End2.1