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Red52
58113.5
498413.8
19216.4
Blue49
510421.5
666513.2
128011.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4445354050555249

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#18
16.40.5
16.016.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 5.1
21.50.4
16.316.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Second
4984
#16
13.80.5
13.313.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
red by 0.6
6665
#32
13.20.7
11.712.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Third
581
#10
13.50.8
12.413.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
red by 2.1
1280
#29
11.40.5
14.715.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned