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Red36
203512.8
74016.7
741316.4
Blue41
682210.6
605910.9
688414.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39381020305060703641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7413
#11
16.40.1
16.116.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 1.8
6884
#30
14.60.4
16.116.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
2035
#31
12.80.2
11.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 1.9
6059
#20
10.90.6
10.411.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Third
7401
#26
6.70.2
9.69.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 3.9
6822
#15
10.60.6
9.410.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed