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Red32
77779.7
325615.0
603915.2
Blue49
498413.8
741316.4
510421.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414901020306070803249

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.20.7
12.611.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End7.8
blue by 6.3
21.50.2
17.818.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Second
3256
#19
15.00.4
16.315.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.7
blue by 1.4
7413
#11
16.40.2
16.016.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
7777
#33
9.70.7
9.68.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 4.2
4984
#16
13.80.2
12.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed