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Red36
41715.0
167120.1
128011.4
Blue50
312827.4
650613.8
666513.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553203040607080903650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.7
16.415.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
blue by 7.3
27.40.0
24.824.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End8.9
Second
1280
#29
11.40.7
14.614.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 2.4
6506
#17
13.80.0
12.512.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Third
4171
#35
5.01.1
12.010.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 8.2
6665
#32
13.20.0
13.013.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned