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Red39
498413.8
517117.2
766717.1
Blue40
264311.7
19216.4
510421.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060803940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#12
17.20.0
13.613.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End4.7
blue by 4.3
21.50.5
18.017.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Second
17.10.0
12.012.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End3.2
red by 0.7
192
#18
16.40.5
16.816.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
Third
4984
#16
13.80.0
12.913.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
red by 2.1
2643
#25
11.70.8
12.211.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed