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Red56
581720.2
64106.9
741316.4
Blue44
167120.1
605910.9
29913.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4637102030405060705644

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.8
16.717.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
red by 0.1
20.10.6
15.716.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Second
7413
#11
16.40.8
17.218.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 2.7
299
#14
13.71.0
10.211.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Third
6410
#36
6.91.3
10.111.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 4.0
6059
#20
10.91.0
9.010.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned