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Red57
681414.6
19216.4
666513.2
Blue47
752811.4
581720.2
605910.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424320305060705747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#18
16.40.5
16.717.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 3.8
20.20.2
17.517.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
Second
6814
#27
14.60.5
9.910.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 3.2
7528
#24
11.40.4
13.213.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
6665
#32
13.20.8
13.214.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.4
red by 2.3
6059
#20
10.90.4
10.010.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed