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Red48
29913.7
85214.2
425511.4
Blue16
58113.5
325615.0
582310.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404910203060704816

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#23
14.21.1
13.414.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 0.8
3256
#19
15.02.0
16.914.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Second
299
#14
13.71.1
11.212.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End2.5
red by 0.2
581
#10
13.53.4
14.811.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Third
4255
#21
11.41.1
13.614.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 1.3
5823
#34
10.23.4
14.411.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed