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Red45
85214.2
128011.4
582310.2
Blue45
681414.6
741316.4
77779.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40380501001504545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#23
14.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 2.2
7413
#11
16.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
1280
#29
11.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 3.2
6814
#27
14.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Third
5823
#34
10.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End3.1
red by 0.5
7777
#33
9.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed