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Red58
349517.1
167120.1
325615.0
Blue17
64106.9
74016.7
19216.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50371020306070805817

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
16.817.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
red by 3.7
192
#18
16.41.2
17.216.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
Second
17.10.3
15.716.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 10.2
6410
#36DQ
6.91.9
9.77.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
3256
#19
15.00.3
14.915.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.7
red by 8.3
7401
#26
6.71.9
8.56.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed