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Red30
64106.9
425511.4
752811.4
Blue55
498413.8
581720.2
635313.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39441020305060703055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#21
11.40.7
15.514.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 8.8
20.20.9
17.618.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
Second
7528
#24
11.40.7
13.412.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 2.5
4984
#16
13.80.9
13.414.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Third
6410
#36DQ
6.90.6
7.87.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 6.1
6353
#13
13.00.9
10.811.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed