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Red30
58113.5
77779.7
29913.7
Blue46
510421.5
605910.9
766717.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37401020305060703046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
299
#14
13.70.6
12.111.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 7.8
21.50.2
16.516.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Second
581
#10
13.50.6
13.012.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 3.5
17.111.3
21.29.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Third
7777
#33
9.70.2
9.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 1.3
6059
#20
10.90.2
11.511.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed