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Red34
19216.4
41715.0
425511.4
Blue44
766717.1
741316.4
682210.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39460102030506070803444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#18
16.40.8
16.415.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 0.7
17.10.0
16.216.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Second
4255
#21
11.41.0
13.312.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 5.0
7413
#11
16.40.0
15.915.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
4171
#35
5.00.9
6.75.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 5.6
6822
#15
10.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed