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Red34
425511.4
264311.7
325615.0
Blue34
688414.6
752811.4
167120.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4345354050553434

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#19
15.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.7
blue by 5.0
20.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Second
2643
#25
11.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.4
blue by 2.9
6884
#30
14.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Third
4255
#21
11.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 0.1
7528
#24
11.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed