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Red54
585112.7
744719.1
59714.5
Blue45
325015.6
116017.1
607216.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405030605445

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.1
9.911.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 2.0
1160
#20
17.10.2
18.418.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Second
597
#29
14.51.1
14.515.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 2.1
16.60.2
14.214.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
Third
5851
#22
12.71.1
13.514.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 2.9
3250
#28
15.60.2
14.614.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed