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Red29
622013.7
476313.6
66929.7
Blue54
407920.2
347316.8
427618.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33432530354045502954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6220
#31
13.70.2
8.48.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 6.5
20.20.4
13.513.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End8.5
Second
4763
#34
13.60.2
12.612.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.1
blue by 5.0
4276
#11
18.60.4
14.414.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Third
6692
#37
9.70.2
9.99.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 7.1
3473
#24
16.80.4
12.913.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned