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Red21
385918.9
596613.5
566919.2
Blue6
581010.4
81211.0
748210.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137102030506070216

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.22.0
14.512.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.6
red by 8.2
812
#46
11.03.2
13.810.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Second
3859
#21
18.92.0
13.411.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.1
red by 8.1
7482
#42
10.83.2
9.46.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Third
5966
#18
13.52.0
10.78.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.8
red by 3.1
5810
#41
10.43.2
11.78.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed