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Red50
97331.9
59714.5
491315.6
Blue50
585112.7
420116.9
461913.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574330405060705050

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#3Sur
31.9
Auto4.9
Teleop19.0
End8.0
red by 15.0
4201
#17
16.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
Second
4913
#13
15.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
red by 2.2
4619
#35
13.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
597
#29
14.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 1.7
5851
#22Sur
12.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed