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Red39
744719.1
550011.6
581010.4
Blue19
476313.6
649912.6
41149.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30331520253540453919

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.2
11.112.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 5.5
4763
#34
13.61.4
12.411.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.1
Second
5500
#10
11.61.2
8.69.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End3.6
blue by 1.0
6499
#47
12.61.4
10.89.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Third
5810
#41
10.41.2
8.49.7
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
red by 0.7
4114
#48
9.71.4
8.36.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed