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Red35
715711.5
32957.5
347316.8
Blue31
649912.6
461913.4
581010.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24321020403531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#24
16.81.3
11.612.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End3.0
red by 3.4
4619
#35
13.40.1
11.211.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Second
7157
#26
11.51.3
4.96.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.6
blue by 1.1
6499
#47
12.60.1
9.49.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Third
3295
#19
7.51.3
6.57.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 2.8
5810
#41
10.40.1
9.79.7
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed