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Red47
151514.5
72308.3
29422.4
Blue45
116017.1
491315.6
476313.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847204060804745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#4
22.40.1
17.617.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End8.1
red by 5.3
1160
#20
17.10.3
18.818.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Second
14.50.1
16.316.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End3.7
blue by 1.1
4913
#13
15.60.3
14.614.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
7230
#23
8.30.1
11.411.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End2.9
blue by 5.3
4763
#34
13.60.3
11.010.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed