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Red72
375911.7
97331.9
476313.6
Blue69
596613.5
33033.1
622013.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50505560657269

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#3
31.92.7
25.428.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.0
End8.0
blue by 1.2
330
#1
33.11.0
24.525.5
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
4763
#34
13.62.7
10.713.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.1
blue by 0.1
6220
#31
13.71.0
11.112.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
3759
#43
11.72.7
11.113.9
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End3.3
blue by 1.8
5966
#18
13.51.0
11.312.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsEarned