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Red18
40568.8
65356.9
375911.7
Blue51
550011.6
501214.5
385918.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32370102050601851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#43
11.71.4
13.912.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End3.3
blue by 7.3
3859
#21
18.91.4
12.814.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Second
4056
#39
8.81.4
8.87.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 5.7
5012
#38
14.51.4
12.013.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.6
Third
6535
#44
6.91.4
7.66.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 4.7
5500
#10
11.61.4
10.612.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed