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Red46
32957.5
607216.6
420116.9
Blue32
81211.0
375911.7
151514.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138203050604632

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#17
16.90.6
13.012.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
red by 2.3
14.50.5
13.012.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End3.7
Second
16.60.6
17.316.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
red by 4.9
3759
#43
11.70.5
12.512.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Third
3295
#19
7.50.6
8.37.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 3.4
812
#46
11.00.5
10.510.0
Auto4.9
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed