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Red40
75245.4
15913.9
585112.7
Blue27
476313.6
581010.4
65356.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290204060801004027

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#33
13.90.2
13.613.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 0.3
4763
#34
13.60.0
12.712.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.1
Second
5851
#22
12.70.2
10.410.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 2.4
5810
#41
10.40.0
8.28.2
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Third
7524
#49
5.40.2
4.54.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 1.5
6535
#44
6.90.0
6.36.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed