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Red45
580514.7
183618.0
151514.5
Blue35
581010.4
66929.7
375911.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4539303540504535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#30
18.00.1
14.814.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End4.3
red by 6.3
3759
#43
11.71.2
12.611.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Second
5805
#36
14.70.1
14.814.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 4.4
5810
#41
10.41.2
12.811.7
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Third
14.50.1
13.012.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End3.7
red by 4.8
6692
#37
9.71.2
11.19.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed