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Red64
427618.6
407920.2
580514.7
Blue58
330920.5
29422.4
325015.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586440507080906458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.0
20.820.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End8.5
blue by 2.2
294
#4
22.40.1
23.022.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End8.1
Second
4276
#11
18.60.0
19.219.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 2.0
3309
#12
20.50.1
21.121.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
5805
#36
14.70.0
15.415.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 0.9
3250
#28
15.60.1
16.216.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4