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Red64
704814.4
87624.8
765623.9
Blue45
327713.2
53713.8
238626.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60592040801006445

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#22
24.80.3
23.523.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End7.7
blue by 1.5
2386
#29
26.30.7
24.623.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Second
7656
#15
23.90.3
21.121.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.4
red by 10.2
537
#50
13.80.7
16.615.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End5.2
Third
7048
#58
14.40.3
12.612.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End3.6
red by 1.2
3277
#62
13.20.7
14.914.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned