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Red79
176828.5
346718.9
524318.5
Blue93
23430.4
254929.2
61931.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70984060801207993

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#24
28.50.8
29.029.8
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
blue by 3.2
619
#4
31.70.2
33.233.0
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Second
3467
#63
18.90.8
20.321.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 11.5
234
#10
30.40.2
29.629.4
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Third
5243
#48
18.50.8
17.017.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End3.1
blue by 10.7
2549
#46
29.20.2
29.829.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
22%Rocket oddsEarned18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned