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Red100
353624.6
259025.5
543627.8
Blue104
436233.7
82928.7
558723.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8288204060100120140100104

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#54
27.81.5
25.827.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.0
End5.0
blue by 5.8
33.71.4
32.433.8
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End5.2
Second
2590
#34
25.51.5
24.526.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End4.4
blue by 3.2
829
#26
28.71.4
27.629.0
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End6.7
Third
3536
#41
24.61.5
27.529.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End5.4
red by 1.2
5587
#40
23.41.4
23.024.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket oddsEarned17%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned