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Red90
436233.7
222023.9
447224.8
Blue107
517235.9
61931.7
345228.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82976012090107

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.6
33.834.5
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End5.2
blue by 2.2
35.91.0
33.734.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End6.1
Second
4472
#51
24.80.6
22.122.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.6
blue by 6.9
619
#4
31.71.0
32.633.7
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Third
2220
#33
23.90.6
22.022.6
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End5.1
blue by 4.6
3452
#14
28.51.0
25.426.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
33%Rocket oddsEarned17%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned