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Red48
778515.7
29316.0
213726.8
Blue54
704814.4
255920.7
346718.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6257203040507080904854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#30
26.80.9
26.925.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End7.2
red by 6.1
2559
#55
20.70.6
20.219.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End5.7
Second
293
#49
16.00.9
15.614.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.4
blue by 2.9
3467
#63
18.90.6
20.019.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Third
7785
#66
15.70.9
16.415.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 1.3
7048
#58
14.40.6
13.813.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed