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Red45
740013.9
704814.4
398519.2
Blue69
181626.3
524318.5
4524.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43712060801004569

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3985
#56
19.20.3
16.516.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.2
blue by 7.1
1816
#18
26.30.1
26.826.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Second
7048
#58
14.40.3
13.213.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End3.6
blue by 10.0
45
#17
24.40.1
22.222.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End3.9
Third
7400
#59
13.90.3
11.111.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.8
blue by 4.7
5243
#48
18.50.1
18.118.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned